Forward of the 2020 election, I wrote a each day article on the newest polls — internally, we referred to as it my “polling diary.” To my shock, tens of 1000’s of individuals signed as much as be notified every time we printed a brand new diary entry. You is likely to be one in all them!
This cycle, we’re taking electronic mail all the best way. We’re launching The Tilt, a publication on elections and polling within the run-up to the November midterm elections — and past.
You’ll be able to join it right here.
The subject material will likely be no shock to longtime followers: evaluation of the newest surveys and electoral tendencies. This yr’s battle for management of Congress will likely be our main focus, however longer-term electoral tendencies, partisan polarization, threats to American democracy, voting legal guidelines and — gulp — the 2024 presidential marketing campaign may also be on our radar.
We’ll additionally go to wonkier topics, like polling methodology. Sure, it’s arcane, however after the final decade of high-profile polling misfires, it’s value a deeper exploration of what pollsters are doing proper or unsuitable. We hope to put in writing accessibly sufficient to lure the uninitiated. If not, we’ll flag it as “wonky” — as Paul Krugman’s publication usually does — and you may skip it every time your eyes begin to glaze over.
We’ll additionally attempt to have some enjoyable.
There are a whole lot of newsletters these days, however I feel electoral evaluation is very nicely suited to this format. We will cowl a flashy new ballot quantity that might not be value a full article, however does should be put into context. And we could be extra casual in providing provisional and unsure takes.
This article may also be a pure house for work that doesn’t at all times have a spot on the Instances house display screen, like bulletins about our coming polls (we’re within the discipline now, by the best way); musings concerning the massive selections that underlie our work; debates on the place to conduct our subsequent survey; or the findings of our post-mortem into our 2020 polling. Through the years, a lot of you might have expressed curiosity within the inside workings of our operation. Hopefully, we will pull again the curtain.
On a private observe, I’m additionally hoping it’s a strategy to maintain a dialog with individuals who care deeply about elections — with out the vitriol usually discovered on Twitter. We’ll attempt to determine a strategy to have interaction with critical criticism, various views and your questions. If you have already got a subject you’d like us to handle, be at liberty to electronic mail us at firstname.lastname@example.org.
And please join! With Democrats displaying uncommon power for the president’s get together in the beginning of a midterm marketing campaign, it’s certain to be a wild few months.