OpinionOpinion | Will Mexico Be the Next Venezuela?

Opinion | Will Mexico Be the Next Venezuela?

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AMLO’s reply is that he merely goals to make INE extra democratic by having its members elected by fashionable vote after the candidates are nominated by establishments below his management. He would additionally cut back INE’s funding, take away its energy to attract up voter rolls and eliminate state electoral authorities. In a Trumpian flip of phrase, AMLO calls his critics “racists, snobs and really hypocritical.”

Actuality is in any other case. AMLO is a product of the outdated ruling celebration, the P.R.I., which dominated practically each facet of Mexican political life from the late Nineteen Twenties to the Nineteen Nineties. Ideologically, the celebration was cut up between two wings: modernizing technocrats versus statist nationalists. However the celebration was united in its devotion to patronage, repression, corruption and, above all, presidential management as a method of perpetuating its maintain on energy.

AMLO could have belonged to the statist wing, however his concepts about governance are straight out of the outdated P.R.I. playbook, solely this time in favor of his personal Morena celebration. “His thrust all alongside has been to recreate the Nineteen Seventies: an overwhelming presidency with no counterweights,” Luis Rubio, one in all Mexico’s main thinkers, wrote me on Monday. “He has thus gone on to undermine, get rid of or neutralize a complete community of entities meant to grow to be checks on presidential energy.” That features the Supreme Court docket, the nation’s regulatory businesses and Mexico’s human rights fee. INE and the nation’s central financial institution are among the many few entities which have remained comparatively free from his management.

What wouldn’t it imply if AMLO have been to get his approach? His six-year presidential time period expires in 2024, and it’s unlikely he would stay formally in workplace. However there’s an outdated Mexican custom of rule from behind the scenes. Stuffing INE with cronies is step one again to the outdated ballot-stuffing days that characterised the Mexico I grew up within the Nineteen Seventies and ’80s.

However it additionally marks a deeper deterioration, in three vital methods.

First, there’s the ever-expanding position of the navy below AMLO. “The navy is now working outdoors civilian management, in open defiance of the Mexican Structure, which states that the navy can’t be answerable for public safety,” notes the Mexican political analyst Denise Dresser within the present challenge of Overseas Affairs. “On account of presidential decrees, the navy has grow to be omnipresent: constructing airports, operating the nation’s ports, controlling customs, distributing cash to the poor, implementing social applications and detaining immigrants.”

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